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Planning for Higher Education Journal

Published
April 6, 2022

Teetering on the Demographic Cliff, Part 3

Different Conditions Require a Different Kind of Planning

Higher education has faced major changes for some time—COVID-19 accelerated that volatility—and now we’re anticipating the demographic downslope in student enrollment. How and when should institutions mobilize for the difficult work of planning in the face of wrenching change?

From Volume 50 Number 2 | January–March 2022

Abstract: Part 1 of this series described a major contraction in the pool of college-going 18-year-olds that will reverse decades of growth and stability for higher education. Part 2 explored how we can shape a planning context that supports success in the coming 10 or 20 years. Part 3 suggests how our approach to planning must shift to prepare for abrupt change.

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Planning for Higher Education Journal

Published
December 15, 2021

Teetering on the Demographic Cliff, Part 2

Turning Away from the Challenge Is the Riskiest Strategy of All

Higher education has faced major changes for some time—COVID-19 accelerated that volatility—and now we’re anticipating the demographic downslope in student enrollment. How and when should institutions mobilize for the difficult work of planning in the face of wrenching change?

From Volume 50 Number 1 | October–December 2021

Abstract: Part 1 of this series described a major contraction in the pool of college-going 18-year-olds that will reverse decades of growth and stability for higher education. Drawing on the path-breaking analysis of Carleton College economist Nathan Grawe, it outlined how widespread but variable the change will be, and discussed some of the effects—on enrollment, revenue, facilities, staffing, and more—for which colleges and universities should be preparing. This Part 2 explores these implications: How can we shape a planning context that supports success in the coming 10 or 20 years? What attitudes and skillsets will remain useful, and what may need to change?

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Planning for Higher Education Journal

Published
September 17, 2021

Teetering on the Demographic Cliff, Part 1

Prepare Now for the Challenging Times Ahead

A long-term decline in birth rates raises fundamental planning questions for higher education as the pool of 18-year-olds contracts after 2025. How can planners and leaders use the time we have to prepare for some of the most wrenching changes in a generation?

From Volume 49 Number 4 | July–September 2021

Abstract: A long-term decline in birth rates raises fundamental planning questions for higher education as the pool of 18-year-olds contracts after 2025. This Planning for Higher Education series explores how planners and leaders can use the time we have to prepare for some of the most wrenching changes in a generation. This article, Part 1, surveys the planning horizon as we emerge from COVID-19 and describes the challenges ahead. Part 2 considers specific planning strategies institutions can adopt to meet the challenge. Part 3 tackles perhaps the most daunting challenge: how to mobilize institutions to actually do what needs to be done, however inconvenient (or worse) that may be.

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Conference Recordings

Published
July 12, 2021

The Higher Education Federal Policy Landscape

Insights from Washington

As we approach the first six months of a new administration and Congress, Terry Hartle, Senior Vice President of Government and Public Affairs at the American Council on Education, will provide perspective on the impact so far of the changes to the political landscape from the 2020 elections and the potential public policy road ahead for higher education and accreditation.

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Conference Recordings

Published
July 22, 2020

2020 Annual Conference | July 2020

Congress, COVID-19, and the Colleges

This session will explore the policy and political climate in Washington DC, discuss current and potential policy changes, and encourage you to consider how these will impact your institution.
Abstract: As the start of the 2020–21 academic year approaches, America faces a series of unprecedented challenges: the worst public health crisis since 1919, the worst economic environment since 1933, and the worst civil unrest since 1968. Public policy-makers have so far struggled to respond to this rapidly changing environment. How will the federal government's actions affect colleges and universities? What other governmental policies might ameliorate these challenges on campuses? This session will explore the policy and political climate in Washington DC, discuss current and potential policy changes, and encourage you to consider how these will impact your institution.

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Conference Presentations

Delivered
October 6, 2019

2019 Southern Regional Conference | October 2019

Inform Planning Through Regional Demographics and Labor Markets

In this session, we will share the Tennessee Board of Regents’ statewide demographic and labor market analysis, which examines demographic, enrollment, and job data to inform coordinated, statewide decision making for academic planning and facility expansions.
Abstract: Institutions can inform their academic and facilities planning by studying labor markets as well as demographic and enrollment trends. In this session, we will share the Tennessee Board of Regents’ statewide demographic and labor market analysis, which examines demographic, enrollment, and job data to inform coordinated, statewide decision making for academic planning and facility expansions. Come learn how Tennessee's methodology can aid your institution in coordinating academic offerings and facilities investments among campuses.

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Conference Presentations

Delivered
July 14, 2019

2019 Annual Conference | July 2019

How Is My Institution Going to Survive the Coming Demographic Cliff?

Abstract: A sharp, perhaps permanent contraction in the pool of college-aged students has become inescapable. Nearly all institutions could confront wrenching losses in competitiveness, revenue, or both. Yet despite advance warning, few institutions understand what they must do now to remain viable. We will go over two sets of tools that are critical for preparing for the upcoming demographic changes: 1) conducting analyses of institutional vulnerability; and 2) modeling what-if scenarios to shape strategy.

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Conference Presentations

Delivered
July 14, 2019

2019 Annual Conference | July 2019

Higher Education, Congress, and the Trump Administration

What Has Happened and What Should We Expect?

Abstract: Effective leadership in American higher ed requires an ability to anticipate how federal policy changes could impact institutions. This session will review the first two years of the Trump Administration and assess changes we may see now that the Democrats control the House of Representatives. This session will discuss the possible reauthorization of the Higher Education Act, changes to federal regulations dealing with Title IX, accreditation, and Gainful Employment, the outlook for federal funding for student aid and scientific research, and the role that complex policy proposals like "free college" and "debt-free college" might play in the 2020 presidential campaign.

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