Learning Resources

Teetering on the Demographic Cliff, Part 3

Different Conditions Require a Different Kind of Planning

By: Bryan C. Harvey, EdD

Higher education has faced major changes for some time—COVID-19 accelerated that volatility—and now we’re anticipating the demographic downslope in student enrollment. How and when should institutions mobilize for the difficult work of planning in the face of wrenching change?

From Volume 50 Number 2 | January–March 2022

Abstract: Part 1 of this series described a major contraction in the pool of college-going 18-year-olds that will reverse decades of growth and stability for higher education. Part 2 explored how we can shape a planning context that supports success in the coming 10 or 20 years. Part 3 suggests how our approach to planning must shift to prepare for abrupt change.

Member Price:
Free | Login

Member-only Resource

Join now to have access

Conference Presentations

Published
July 14, 2019

2019 Annual Conference | July 2019

How Is My Institution Going to Survive the Coming Demographic Cliff?

By: Bryan C. Harvey

Abstract: A sharp, perhaps permanent contraction in the pool of college-aged students has become inescapable. Nearly all institutions could confront wrenching losses in competitiveness, revenue, or both. Yet despite advance warning, few institutions understand what they must do now to remain viable. We will go over two sets of tools that are critical for preparing for the upcoming demographic changes: 1) conducting analyses of institutional vulnerability; and 2) modeling what-if scenarios to shape strategy.

Planning Types: Strategic Enrollment Management Planning, Strategic Planning
Tags: Demographics, Higher Ed Trends, SCUP 2019 Annual Conference, Student Demographics, Trends External to Higher Ed

Member Price:
Free

Non-Member Price:
Free

Planning Types

Challenges